Do you know who the greatest rivals in the world are? “India vs Pakistan” in cricket, “MCD vs Burger King” in food, or even, “Coke vs Pepsi” when it comes to brand.
But do you know the rivals in the investment world? It’s “Bull vs Bear”. These terms are generally used to describe the condition of the stock market value whether they are appreciating or depreciating.
As an early investor, the direction of the market is a major force that has a huge impact on your overall profile. So, it becomes necessary to understand how each of them impacts the stock market.
When the market is bullish, it means to have a positive outlook. Investors can expect that the stock price and commodities will rise. During a bullish market, investors believe that there is a chance of profiting from buying stocks and holding assets.
A bullish investor is often confident in economic growth, low inflation, strong consumer demand, and supportive government policies.
A notable example of a bull market occurred in the Indian stock markets between December 2011 and March 2015, during which the Sensex soared by over 98%.
When the market is bearish, it means to have a negative outlook. Investors can expect that the stock price and commodities will fall. During a bullish market, investors believe that there are more risks than rewards in the market, and it's better to sell stocks and short-sell assets.
A bearish investor may also hold a negative outlook due to economic slowdown, high inflation, weak consumer demand, and unfavorable government policies.
A recent example from the Indian stock market occurred between March 2015 and February 2016, when the Sensex fell by over 23%.
Bull and Bear Market: Nomenclature
The terms Bull and Bear come from the way these animals attack their opponents. A bull thrusts its horns up in the air, while a bear swipes its paws downward.
These actions serve as metaphors for stock market movement. An upward trend signifies a bull market, while a downward trend indicates a bear market.
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If the country's GDP grows and is higher than the previous term, this growth suggests that the consumer is spending more, and it is a common sign of a flourishing economy.
When the stock prices go up, it attracts more investors to invest their money in the stock market as they believe the market will continue to go up in the future.
Economic growth fuels business expansion, leading to an increased workforce and more job opportunities during a bull market.
Bull markets usually present investors with many profit opportunities due to widespread stock price increases.
However, since they are temporary and often unpredictable, investors need to be mindful of when to buy and sell.
The high unemployment rate is an indicator of a bear market As the economy slumps it causes businesses to struggle which results in layoffs, and a decrease in consumer spending.
A decline in stock prices is a sign of a bear market. As stock prices fall, investor confidence diminishes, resulting in decreased buying activity and additional downward pressure on the market.
Even though a bearish market seems negative, it doesn't last long. Economic challenges may arise and fade, but the stock market's resilience has been demonstrated repeatedly.
S.No | Bull Market | Bear Market |
1. | Bull Market= Incline Market | Bear Market= Decline Market |
2. | Sign of Optimism | Wrapped in pessimism. |
3. | Investors buy stocks in large number | Investors sell their stocks in a large number |
4. | Typically, this happens when the economy is growing or has already reached a strong state | Typically, this occurs when the economy is declining or has already become fragile. |
5. | Rise in GDP of a country | Fall in GDP of a country |
6. | High employment | High unemployment |
7. | Investor confidence typically rises steadily during a bull market period. | Investor confidence generally decreases steadily during a bear market period. |
8. | The overall demand for the stocks will be positive. | The overall demand for the stocks will be negative. |
9. | Bull markets typically see a rise in the volume of Initial Public Offering activity. | The number of IPOs usually declines during a bear market. |
10. | During, the bullish market investors are willing to hold and buy more stocks to book profit. | During, a bearish market investors are more willing to sell of their holdings in the stock market. |
The stock market's action is influenced and determined by investors' behavior and thought processes, investor psychology, and their sentiment is crucial in determining whether the market will rise or fall.
A bull market is when the overall stock market is rising, while a bear market is when the market is falling. In both cases, the investor should aim to buy strong fundamental stocks at the lowest possible price. So, that investor can book their profile when the market goes up.
But Despite financial analysts dedicating countless hours to predicting the triggers and duration of the next bull market, there is no foolproof formula to determine whether the stock market will rise or fall.
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